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KevinKelly_2016T-_人工智能将如何推动第二次工业革命_
I'm going to talk a little bit about where technology 's going. 我打算谈一谈技术的发展趋势。
technology:n.技术;工艺;术语;
And often technology comes to us, we're surprised by what it brings. 当（新的）技术到来时, 常常会令我们感到惊讶。
But there's actually a large aspect of technology that's much more predictable , and that's because technological systems of all sorts have leanings , they have urgencies , they have tendencies . 但事实上,技术在很大程度上 是能够被预见的。 这是因为所有的技术都有某种倾向性, 有某种冲动, 有某种趋势。
aspect:n.方面;层面;外观;方位; predictable:adj.可预言的; technological:adj.技术[工程](上)的;因工艺技术高度发展而引起的; leanings:n.倾向,爱好;倾斜;v.倚靠(lean的ing形式); urgencies:n.紧急;催促;紧急的事; tendencies:趋势;
And those tendencies are derived from the very nature of the physics, chemistry of wires and switches and electrons , and they will make reoccurring patterns again and again . 这些趋势是由电线、开关、以及电子的 物理和化学本质所决定的, 并且呈现出不断重复的模式。
derived:adj.导出的;衍生的,派生的;v.得到;推断(derive的过去分词);由…而来; electrons:n.[物]电子(electron的复数形式); reoccurring:v.再次(或多次)发生;反复出现;(reoccur的现在分词) again and again:adv.再三地,反复地;
And so those patterns produce these tendencies, these leanings. 或者说,这些模式形成了某种趋势、某种倾向。
You can almost think of it as sort of like gravity. 你可以把它看成类似于重力的东西。
Imagine raindrops falling into a valley. 想象雨点汇入山谷:
raindrops:n.[气象]雨滴;雨点(raindrop的复数);
The actual path of a raindrop as it goes down the valley is unpredictable . 一滴雨点流入山谷的实际路径 是无法预测的。
unpredictable:adj.不可预知的;不定的;出乎意料的;n.不可预言的事;
We cannot see where it's going, but the general direction is very inevitable : it's downward . 我们并不知道它的具体走向, 但大方向是很显然的: 它往下流。
inevitable:adj.必然的,不可避免的; downward:adj.下降的;向下的;adv.同"downwards";
And so these baked-in tendencies and urgencies in technological systems give us a sense of where things are going at the large form. 因此,这些内在趋势和冲动, 深深扎根于技术系统中, 使我们能够感知它们的大体方向。
So in a large sense, 具体点说,
I would say that telephones were inevitable, but the iPhone was not. 电话是必然的, 但 iPhone 不是;
The Internet was inevitable, but Twitter was not. 因特网是必然的, 但推特不是。
So we have many ongoing tendencies right now, and I think one of the chief among them is this tendency to make things smarter and smarter. 同样道理,当下有许多正在发生的趋势, 而我认为其中最重要的一个 是让物体变得越来越聪明。
ongoing:n.发展; adj.持续存在的; tendency:n.倾向,趋势;癖好;
also known as artificial intelligence , or AI. 也就是人们常说的人工智能,或者 AI。
artificial intelligence:n.人工智能;
And I think that's going to be one of the most influential developments and trends and directions and drives in our society in the next 20 years. 我认为在未来二十年中, 这将是社会中最具影响力的发展趋势和驱动力。
influential:adj.有影响的;有势力的;n.有影响力的人物; trends:n.趋势;倾向;动态;动向;(trend的第三人称单数和复数)
So, of course, it's already here. 当然,它已经发生了。
We already have AI, and often it works in the background, in the back offices of hospitals, where it's used to diagnose X-rays better than a human doctor. 我们已经有了 AI, 它们通常都隐身在后台工作, 在医院里, AI 分析 X 光片的水准比人类医生还要棒。
diagnose:vt.诊断;断定;vi.诊断;判断;
It's in legal offices, where it's used to go through legal evidence better than a human paralawyer. 在律所里, AI 核查证物的本事 比人类助理律师还要强。
legal:adj.法律的;合法的;法定的; evidence:n.证据,证明;迹象;明显;v.证明;
It's used to fly the plane that you came here with. 我们乘坐的飞机是由 AI 在驾驶。
Human pilots only flew it seven to eight minutes, the rest of the time the AI was driving. 人类驾驶员只飞个七、八分钟而已; 其他时间都是 AI 在操控。
And of course, in Netflix and Amazon , it's in the background, making those recommendations . 当然,在 Netflix 和亚马逊网站, 是AI在后台进行推荐。
Netflix:n.网飞公司(出租DVD;在线观看电影的网站。); Amazon:亚马逊;古希腊女战士; recommendations:n.推荐;推荐信;推荐规范(recommendation的复数形式);
That's what we have today. 这些都是我们已经实现的。
And we have an example, of course, in a more front-facing aspect of it, with the win of the AlphaGo, who beat the world's greatest Go champion. 我们也有一些更前沿的例子, 比如“阿尔法狗”战胜了人类最强的围棋世界冠军。
But it's more than that. 但还不止于此。
If you play a video game , you're playing against an AI. 我们打电玩时,对手往往是 AI。
video game:n.电子游戏;
But recently , Google taught their AI to actually learn how to play video games. 不过最近,谷歌教会了他们的 AI 自己学习如何打电子游戏。
recently:adv.最近;新近; Google:谷歌;谷歌搜索引擎;
Again, teaching video games was already done, but learning how to play a video game is another step. 教（AI）打游戏已经不是什么新鲜事了, 但（AI）自己学习打游戏则是另一个境界。
That's artificial smartness . 这就是人工智慧。
smartness:n.机灵;敏捷;现代风格;
What we're doing is taking this artificial smartness and we're making it smarter and smarter. 我们正在以此为起点, 让它变得越来越聪明。
There are three aspects to this general trend that I think are underappreciated; 在这个大趋势中, 我认为有三点尚未被充分认识;
aspects:n.方面;相位;面貌(aspect的复数);
I think we would understand AI a lot better if we understood these three things. 如果我们能理解这三点, 就能更好的理解 AI,
I think these things also would help us embrace AI, because it's only by embracing it that we actually can steer it. 并更加全身心的拥抱 AI。 只有拥抱 AI,才能控制AI。
embrace:n.拥抱,怀抱;v.拥抱;乐意采纳(思想、建议等);信奉;包括; embracing:n.拥抱;v.拥抱,包含;(embrace的现在分词) steer:v.引导;控制;操纵;驾驶(船、汽车等);n.建议;劝告;忠告;阉公牛;
We can actually steer the specifics by embracing the larger trend. 我们可以通过拥抱大趋势来控制细节。
specifics:n.细节;特性(specific的复数);详情;
So let me talk about those three different aspects. 所以,请允许我谈谈这三点。
The first one is: our own intelligence has a very poor understanding of what intelligence is. 第一点,我们自己尚未很好的理解 什么是智能。
We tend to think of intelligence as a single dimension , that it's kind of like a note that gets louder and louder. 我们通常认为智能是单维度的, 就像一个越来越响的音符。
dimension:n.方面;[数]维;尺寸;次元;容积vt.标出尺寸;adj.规格的;
It starts like with IQ measurement . 我们用智商来衡量它。
measurement:n.测量;度量;长度;
It starts with maybe a simple low IQ in a rat or mouse, and maybe there's more in a chimpanzee , and then maybe there's more in a stupid person, and then maybe an average person like myself, and then maybe a genius . 老鼠的智商较低, 猩猩的智商较高, 接下来是比较笨的人, 然后是像我一样的普通人, 再往上是天才。
chimpanzee:n.[脊椎]黑猩猩; genius:n.天才;天资;才能,本领;
And this single IQ intelligence is getting greater and greater. 智商越高,智能就越高。
That's completely wrong. 这种看法是完全错误的。
That's not what intelligence is — not what human intelligence is, anyway. 这根本就不是智能,人类智能也并非如此。
It's much more like a symphony of different notes, and each of these notes is played on a different instrument of cognition . 智能更像由不同音符组成的交响乐, 每个音符由不同的认知乐器来奏响。
symphony:n.交响乐;谐声,和声; instrument:n.仪器;工具;乐器;手段;器械; cognition:n.认识;知识;认识能力;
There are many types of intelligences in our own minds. 人类的心智包含了多种智能。
intelligences:[军]情报;
We have deductive reasoning, we have emotional intelligence, we have spatial intelligence; we have maybe 100 different types that are all grouped together, and they vary in different strengths with different people. 我们可以进行演绎推理, 我们具备情绪智力, 我们有空间智能。 我们可能有一百种不同的智能集合在一起, 它们在不同人的身上也体现得强弱不一。
deductive:adj.演绎的;推论的;推断的; emotional:adj.情绪的;易激动的;感动人的; spatial:adj.空间的;存在于空间的;受空间条件限制的; vary:vi.变化;变异;违反;vt.改变;使多样化;变奏;
And of course, if we go to animals, they also have another basket — another symphony of different kinds of intelligences, and sometimes those same instruments are the same that we have. 而动物们则可能是另一套体系—— 由其他智能组成的另一首交响乐, 当然,有些乐器与人类是相同的。
instruments:n.器械;仪器;器具;手段(instrument的复数)
They can think in the same way, but they may have a different arrangement , and maybe they're higher in some cases than humans, like long-term memory in a squirrel is actually phenomenal , so it can remember where it buried its nuts. 可能思考的方式相同但侧重点不同, 某些方面可能还强于人类, 像松鼠的长期记忆就很了不得, 能清楚记得坚果的埋藏之所。
arrangement:n.安排;筹备;布置;商定;约定;改编乐曲; long-term:adj.长期的;从长远来看; squirrel:n.松鼠; phenomenal:adj.现象的;显著的;异常的;能知觉的;惊人的,非凡的;
But in other cases they may be lower. 但在另外一些方面可能不如人类。
When we go to make machines, we're going to engineer them in the same way, where we'll make some of those types of smartness much greater than ours, and many of them won't be anywhere near ours, because they're not needed. 当我们制造机器时, 也会用同样的方式来设计它们, 它们在某些方面会比我们聪明得多, 而在其他方面则远远不如我们, 因为根本没必要。
So we're going to take these things, these artificial clusters , and we'll be adding more varieties of artificial cognition to our AIs. 我们会用这些东西, 这些人造的功能组合, 为我们的 AI 添加各种各样的人工认知。
clusters:n.[植]簇;丛(cluster的复数形式);[计]群集;
We're going to make them very, very specific. 我们会让它们（的功能）非常具体。
So your calculator is smarter than you are in arithmetic already; your GPS is smarter than you are in spatial navigation; 比方说,计算器在数学运算上要比我们聪明得多; GPS 的空间导航能力远胜过我们;
calculator:n.计算器; arithmetic:n.算术,算法;
Google, Bing, are smarter than you are in long-term memory. 谷歌、必应在长期记忆上完胜我们。
And we're going to take, again, these kinds of different types of thinking and we'll put them into, like, a car. 然后我们再把这些不同类型的智能 塞到……比如说汽车里,实现自动行驶。
The reason why we want to put them in a car so the car drives, is because it's not driving like a human. 我们之所以这么做,正是因为它的驾驶方式 跟我们不一样。
It's not thinking like us. 它不像我们那样思考。
That's the whole feature of it. 这恰恰是它的特点。
It's not being distracted , it's not worrying about whether it left the stove on, or whether it should have majored in finance . 它不会分心, 不会担心是否忘记了关炉子, 不会纠结要不要选金融专业。
distracted:adj.心烦意乱; v.转移(注意力); (distract的过去分词和过去式) stove:n.火炉;窑;烘房;[园]温室;v.用火炉烤[烘干];把…放入温室内培育; finance:n.财政,财政学;金融;v.负担经费,供给…经费;
It's just driving. 它只知道开车。
(Laughter) （笑声）
Just driving, OK? 它会专心开车,对吧？
And we actually might even come to advertise these as "consciousness-free." 我们甚至可以把这个做为卖点, 叫做“无意识”。
advertise:v.做广告;登广告;(在报纸、公共场所公告牌、互联网等上)公布;展现;
They're without consciousness , they're not concerned about those things, they're not distracted. 它们没有意识, 不会东想西想, 不会分心。
consciousness:n.意识;知觉;觉悟;感觉; concerned:adj.有关的;关心的;v.关心;与…有关;(concern的过去时和过去分词)
So in general , what we're trying to do is make as many different types of thinking as we can. 所以,我们应该尽我们所能 制造各种各样的思考（机器）。
in general:总之,通常;一般而言;
We're going to populate the space of all the different possible types, or species , of thinking. 我们应该去尝试 所有可能的思考方式。
populate:vt.居住于;构成人口;移民于;殖民于; species:n.[生物]物种;种类;
And there actually may be some problems that are so difficult in business and science that our own type of human thinking may not be able to solve them alone. 在商业和科学上, 我们会遇到一些难题, 单凭人类自身的思考无法解决。
We may need a two-step program, which is to invent new kinds of thinking that we can work alongside of to solve these really large problems, say, like dark energy or quantum gravity. 我们可能需要分两步走, 先发明出新的思考方式, 再与它们一起解决这些真正的难题, 比如暗能量和量子引力。
two-step:n.两步舞;拍圆舞曲;两步舞曲; quantum:n.量子论;额;美国昆腾公司(世界领先的硬盘生产商);
What we're doing is making alien intelligences. 我们实际上是在创造异形智能。
You might even think of this as, sort of, artificial aliens in some senses. 某种意义上,甚至可以将它们看作人造异形。
And they're going to help us think different, because thinking different is the engine of creation and wealth and new economy . 它们将帮助我们用不同的方式思考, 而换一种思考方式是创造的源泉, 是财富和新经济的引擎。
creation:n.创造,创作;创作物,产物; wealth:n.财富;大量;富有; economy:n.经济;节约;理财;
The second aspect of this is that we are going to use AI to basically make a second Industrial Revolution . 第二点是,我们将用 AI 推动第二次工业革命。
basically:adv.主要地,基本上; Industrial Revolution:n.工业革命;
The first Industrial Revolution was based on the fact that we invented something I would call artificial power. 在第一次工业革命中, 人类发明了我称之为“人造能源”的东西。
Previous to that, during the Agricultural Revolution, everything that was made had to be made with human muscle or animal power. 在此之前, 在农业革命时期, 制造业靠人力驱动, 或者靠畜力。
Previous to:在…以前; Agricultural:adj.农业的;农艺的; muscle:n.肌肉;力量;v.加强;使劲搬动;使劲挤出;
That was the only way to get anything done. 除此之外别无他法。
The great innovation during the Industrial Revolution was, we harnessed steam power, fossil fuels, to make this artificial power that we could use to do anything we wanted to do. 工业革命时期的伟大发明就是 人们利用化石燃料和蒸汽 所产生的“人造能源”来做 我们想做的任何事情。
innovation:n.创新,革新;新方法; harnessed:v.给(马等)上挽具;控制,利用(以产生能量等);(harness的过去式和过去分词) fossil:n.化石;老人;老古董;adj.从地下发掘出来的;化石的;属于旧时代的;陈腐的;
So today when you drive down the highway, you are, with a flick of the switch, commanding 250 horses — which we can use to build skyscrapers , to build cities, to build roads, 今天,当我们开车行驶在高速上, 只需轻轻拨弄开关,就能驾驭 250 匹马—— 我们可以建造高楼大厦,修建道路,建设城市,
flick:v.轻弹;忽然摇动;轻轻拂去;n.弹开;快速的轻打;轻打声; skyscrapers:n.摩天大楼;(skyscraper的复数)
to make factories that would churn out lines of chairs or refrigerators way beyond our own power. 开办工厂,源源不断地生产桌椅或冰箱, 这些都远远超出了人力所为。
churn:v.剧烈搅动;(使)猛烈翻腾;反胃,恶心;感到不安;n.搅乳器;
And that artificial power can also be distributed on wires on a grid to every home, factory, farmstead , and anybody could buy that artificial power, just by plugging something in. 这种“人造能源”还可以通过电网和电线 输送到家庭、工厂和农庄, 任何人都可以购买这种“人造能源”, 只需插上插头就可以使用。
distributed:adj.分布的;分散的;v.分发;分配;使分布(distribute的过去分词和过去式) grid:n.网格;格子,栅格;输电网; farmstead:n.农庄;农场及其建筑物; plugging:v.堵塞;封堵;补足;补充;推广;宣传;(plug的现在分词)
So this was a source of innovation as well, because a farmer could take a manual hand pump , and they could add this artificial power, this electricity , and he'd have an electric pump. 它也带来了很多创新, 农民可以为手动泵通上电, 加上这种“人造能源”, 就变成了电泵。
source:n.来源;水源;原始资料; manual:n.说明书;指南;使用手册;adj.用手的;手工的;体力的;手动的; pump:n.抽水机;泵;打气筒;v.用泵输送;涌出;奔流;快速摇动; electricity:n.电力;电流;强烈的紧张情绪;
And you multiply that by thousands or tens of thousands of times, and that formula was what brought us the Industrial Revolution. 类似的改造成千上万, 这个（人力器械+人造能源的）公式造就了工业革命。
multiply:vt.乘; vi.乘; v.多样地; adj.多层的; formula:n.公式; adj.(赛车)方程式的(指赛车要符合规定的体积,重量及汽缸容量等);
All the things that we see, all this progress that we now enjoy, has come from the fact that we've done that. 今天我们看到的所有事物,享受的所有服务, 几乎都来源于此。
We're going to do the same thing now with AI. 现在我们要用 AI 做同样的事情。
We're going to distribute that on a grid, and now you can take that electric pump. 我们用网路传输 AI, 把 AI 加载到
You can add some artificial intelligence, and now you have a smart pump. 诸如电泵之类的东西上, 就得到了聪明的电泵。
And that, multiplied by a million times, is going to be this second Industrial Revolution. 类似的改造做上几百万次, 就会掀起第二次工业革命。
multiplied:v.乘;乘以;成倍增加;(使)繁殖,增殖;(multiply的过去分词和过去式)
So now the car is going down the highway, it's 250 horsepower , but in addition , it's 250 minds. 那么将来汽车行驶在高速上, 它不仅有 250倍马力,还有 250倍的脑力。
horsepower:n.马力(功率单位); addition:n.添加;[数]加法;增加物;
That's the auto-driven car. 这就是自动驾驶汽车。
It's like a new commodity; it's a new utility . 它是一种新的商品, 是一种新的基础设施。
utility:n.公用事业;实用;实用程序;adj.多用途的;多效用的;
The AI is going to flow across the grid — the cloud — in the same way electricity did. AI 将会在网络、在云端传输, 就像电一样。
So everything that we had electrified , we're now going to cognify. 所以凡是可以用电的地方, 都可以用 AI。
electrified:adj.通电的; v.使电气化; (electrify的过去分词和过去式)
And I would suggest, then, that the formula for the next 10,000 start-ups is very, very simple, which is to take x and add AI. 而我可以建议说, 未来一万家创业公司的秘诀 其实非常非常简单: 拿来某样东西,加上 AI。
start-ups:起动;新兴公司(start-up的名词复数);
That is the formula, that's what we're going to be doing. 这个公式就是我们将要不断践行的。
And that is the way in which we're going to make this second Industrial Revolution. 我们将以这种方式 来掀起第二次工业革命。
And by the way — right now, this minute, you can log on to Google and you can purchase AI for six cents, 100 hits. 顺便说一句,就在此时, 你可以登录谷歌, 购买 AI:用6美分购买100次服务。
by the way:顺便说一下; purchase:n.购买;采购;购买的东西;购买项目;v.购买;采购;
That's available right now. 这个服务现在就能用。
So the third aspect of this is that when we take this AI and embody it, we get robots. 第三点是, 我们将AI实体化, 就得到了机器人。
embody:v.具体表现,体现,代表(思想或品质);包括;
And robots are going to be bots , they're going to be doing many of the tasks that we have already done. 机器人可以帮助我们, 完成许多曾经需要我们亲力亲为的任务。
bots:n.蝇蛆病; v.只想借不想还(bot的第三人称单数形式);
A job is just a bunch of tasks, so they're going to redefine our jobs because they're going to do some of those tasks. 而工作就是一系列的任务, 我们的工作将会被重新定义, 一部分任务将交给机器人来完成。
a bunch of:一群;一束;一堆; redefine:vt.重新定义;
But they're also going to create whole new categories , a whole new slew of tasks that we didn't know we wanted to do before. 与此同时,也将产生一大批 不同种类的新任务, 一批以往我们没有意识到要去做的任务。
categories:n.(人或事物的)类别,种类(category的复数) slew:n.回转; vi.扭转; vt.使扭转; v.杀害(slay的过去式);
They're going to actually engender new kinds of jobs, new kinds of tasks that we want done, just as automation made up a whole bunch of new things that we didn't know we needed before, and now we can't live without them. 它们甚至有可能催生出新的职业, 我们感兴趣的新工作, 就像自动化带来的许多新事物, 我们之前并不知道会需要它们, 但今天我们已经离不开它们了。
engender:vt.使产生;造成;vi.产生;引起; automation:n.自动化;自动操作;
So they're going to produce even more jobs than they take away, but it's important that a lot of the tasks that we're going to give them are tasks that can be defined in terms of efficiency or productivity . 所以机器人带来的工作机会比它们抢走的要多。 更重要的是,我们交给它们的 都是需要效率或生产率的任务。
defined:adj.有定义的,确定的; v.使明确; efficiency:n.效率;效能;功效; productivity:n.生产力;生产率;生产能力;
If you can specify a task, either manual or conceptual , that can be specified in terms of efficiency or productivity, that goes to the bots. 如果一个任务, 不管是体力的还是脑力的, 可以用效率或生产率来衡量, 那么就应该交给机器人来完成。
specify:v.具体说明;明确规定;详述;详列; conceptual:adj.概念上的; specified:v.指定;具体说明;逐一登记;列入清单;(specified是specify的过去分词)
Productivity is for robots. 需要效率的事情交给机器人好了。
What we're really good at is basically wasting time. 我们真正擅长的是浪费时间。
(Laughter) （笑声）
We're really good at things that are inefficient . 我们最擅长做那些没有效率的事情。
inefficient:adj.无效率的,效率低的;无能的;
Science is inherently inefficient. 科学从本质上来说是低效的。
inherently:adv.内在地;固有地;天性地;
It runs on that fact that you have one failure after another. 我们一次又一次的失败,
It runs on the fact that you make tests and experiments that don't work, otherwise you're not learning. 很多试验和尝试都徒劳无功, 否则我们也学不到什么东西。
It runs on the fact that there is not a lot of efficiency in it. 事实就是, 科学研究没有什么效率。
Innovation by definition is inefficient, because you make prototypes , because you try stuff that fails, that doesn't work. 创新从定义上来说就是低效的。 毕竟我们需要制作原型, 需要做各种尝试,经历各种失败。
definition:n.定义;清晰度;(尤指词典里的词或短语的)释义;解释; prototypes:n.原型;技术原型;雏型; stuff:n.东西:物品:基本特征:v.填满:装满:标本:
Exploration is inherently inefficiency . 探索是低效的。
Exploration:n.探索;勘探;探险;[医]探查术; inefficiency:n.效率低;无效率;无能;
Art is not efficient. 艺术是低效的。
Human relationships are not efficient. 人际关系也是低效的。
These are all the kinds of things we're going to gravitate to, because they're not efficient. 这些都是我们喜欢做的事情, 因为它们都是低效的。
gravitate:vi.受引力作用;被吸引;
Efficiency is for robots. 高效是机器人的使命。
We're also going to learn that we're going to work with these AIs because they think differently than us. 还要认识到,我们将和 AI 一起工作, 因为它们的思维方式与我们不同。
When Deep Blue beat the world's best chess champion, people thought it was the end of chess. 在“深蓝”战胜国际象棋的世界冠军后, 人们以为国际象棋没什么玩头了。
But actually, it turns out that today, the best chess champion in the world is not an AI. 但事实上,目前世界上最厉害的国际象棋冠军 并不是 AI,
And it's not a human. 也不是人类,
It's the team of a human and an AI. 而是由人类和 AI 组成的团队。
The best medical diagnostician is not a doctor, it's not an AI, it's the team. 最棒的医学诊疗师既不是医生,也不是 AI, 而是他们组成的团队。
diagnostician:n.诊断专家;诊断医生;
We're going to be working with these AIs, and I think you'll be paid in the future by how well you work with these bots. 也就是说我们将和 AI 一起工作, 你将来的薪酬, 很可能取决于你跟机器人合作得如何。
So that's the third thing, is that they're different, they're utility and they are going to be something we work with rather than against. 这就是我想说的第三点:AI 是不同于我们的, 它们是技术设备, 我们将与它们合作,
We're working with these rather than against them. 而非竞争。
So, the future: 那么,
Where does that take us?
I think that 25 years from now, they'll look back and look at our understanding of AI and say, "You didn't have AI. In fact, you didn't even have the Internet yet, compared to what we're going to have 25 years from now." 我想,25年后我们回头再看 今天对 AI 的理解,我们会说: “你们那都不叫 AI。你们甚至都还没有真正的因特网, 25年后的因特网才能叫因特网呢。“
compared:adj.比较的,对照的; v.相比; (compare的过去式和过去分词)
There are no AI experts right now. 我们也还没有真正的 AI 专家。
There's a lot of money going to it, there are billions of dollars being spent on it; it's a huge business, but there are no experts, compared to what we'll know 20 years from now. 而大量的资本正涌向这个领域, 动辄数十亿美金, 这是一个巨大的产业。 但我们尚未拥有真正的 AI 专家——如果跟20年后相比的话。
So we are just at the beginning of the beginning, we're in the first hour of all this. 我们还处在最初的起步阶段, 所有一切才刚刚开始。
at the beginning of:在…的开始;
We're in the first hour of the Internet. 因特网的历史才刚刚开始。
We're in the first hour of what's coming. 美好的未来才刚刚开始。
The most popular AI product in 20 years from now, that everybody uses, has not been invented yet. 未来20年最受欢迎的 AI 产品, 最普及的 AI 产品, 还没有被发明呢。
That means that you're not late. 也就是说,你们还有机会。
Thank you. 谢谢！
(Laughter) （笑声）
(Applause) （掌声）